Sentiment Analysis of the earnings transcript to help figure out if there are any bullish or bearish sentiments that could be gathered from it. We're doing ML and AI based analysis on the earnings call to get some more insights.
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| And so these adjusted results show full year 2023 per share growth of 4.9% for core FFO and 3.5% for AFFO, both notably better than the reported headline number |
| The end of the year surge positions the company well in the near-term, but a few highlights of 2023 that I'm proud of what NNN accomplished |
| So, we had a really strong year in 2023 |
| The 5.9%, as I stated in the opening, was 140 basis points inside where we deployed capital for 2023, which proved NNN's excellent execution with managing the portfolio |
| We think this gives a better picture of the core fundamental operating results of our business but overall, a good quarter, in line with our expectations |
| So in closing, I think we’re in relatively good position to navigate the economic and capital markets uncertainties and to continue to grow per share results, which we view as the primary measure of success |
| That being said, if there is a change in the market as we progress throughout the year, NNN is well positioned and will capitalize on the right opportunities |
| But again, kind of what I stated in the opening remarks, they're well positioned |
| Management takes great pride in being best-in-class capital allocators, not asset accumulators |
| We maintain good leverage and liquidity profile with $968 million of availability on our $1.1 billion bank credit facility |
| As I alluded earlier, NNN is in great shape |
| The 34th consecutive annual dividend increase, the rebranding initiative and the positioning of the executive team for the future |
| I will be quick to point out, as detailed in the footnote below the earnings table on Page 1 of the press release that the fourth quarter included $0.03 of accrued rental income in connection with the re-class of one tenant from cash basis accounting to accrual basis accounting as a result of continued improvement in that and its financial condition post pandemic |
| She joins NNN with a fantastic resume from public and private companies, bringing significant transactional experience |
| And like I said, hopefully, we'll have an opportunity to drift that higher, that guidance higher as the year progresses and consistent with what we've done in the past |
| Shifting to the highlights for the fourth quarter financial results, the portfolio now contains 3,532 freestanding single-tenant properties that continue to perform exceedingly well |
| We do see some margin expansions within the QSR, meaning that they still can get the price through and their labor costs are not eating them up |
| And we are mindful that this is a long-term, multi-year endeavor, but the fundamentals of our business remain in good shape |
| We think it's a lot better of a risk-adjusted return |
| One, we continue to execute our strategy using a bottom-up approach, continue to increase the annual dividend, maintaining the top-tier payout ratio and focusing on growing FFO per share in the mid-single digits over multiple years |
| As this morning's press release reflects NNN's performance in 2023 produced 3.8% Core FFO growth along with acquisition volume over $800 million |
| Just to kind of reiterate and then we're in good shape as we head into 2024 |
| That was up $0.05 or 6.3% over year ago results of $0.80 per share |
| Hopefully, as the year progresses and consistent with – as we've done in the past, we will have the opportunity to drift our guidance higher |
| Occupancy levels reached historic highs of 99.5%, which is well above our long-term average of 98% |
| Our weighted average debt maturity remains 12 years, which will help us slow the coming refinance headwind that all REITs are phasing in the coming years |
| Currently, they're all performing, I'm not going to say killing it out of the park, but they're performing well |
| We remain focused on working to appropriately allocate capital, which to us means ensuring we are getting what we believe are appropriate returns on equity, while controlling risk through property underwriting and maintaining a sound balance sheet |
| Great |
| But as far as growth through M&A or adding stores, there’s still a big push in the auto service center from our client base is still growing and we’re starting to see a little bit of the QSR momentum tick up |
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| There was a moment within the last 60 days that passing through cap rate increases became more challenging |
| Despite the pressure from our competitors' acquisition needs hindered that cap rate expansion to a certain extent |
| And so the refinance of that debt will create nearly a couple of pennies of headwind on 2024 results |
| We also own some Frisch's restaurants, which is a restaurant concept, Big Boys, Midwest Big Boy hamburger concept that we have concerns about and we've talked about and then of course the theater exposure |
| But we kind of noticed, it felt like the other REITs put some pressure because they have to do acquisition volume, which kind of plateaued the cap rates that we’re seeing that might close in the second quarter |
| I think if you look back over history, I'm guessing our initial acquisition guidance has always looked light relative to where the year ended up 2023 included |
| It just was a little bit light, at least relative to our expectations, and I think maybe relative to some of your 3Q commentary |
| They feel the pressure to do the volume |
| In addition, the year concluded with high occupancy of 99.5% and dispositions income-producing assets were 140 basis points lower than our acquisition cap rate, all driven by our best-in-class team here at NNN |
| It’s unusual |
| A couple have dropped off for better or worse in terms of we had three Bed, Bath & Beyond |
| And so it’s – we tend to be probably a little more cautious on the front-end going in until we have a better sense of how the year is going to play out |
| We are hearing rumblings that they're starting to thinking about getting back in the market but they're not the groups I would lean on that were hurting the price – cap rate expansion |
| Having said that, we created 100 basis point rent loss assumption baked into our guidance to hopefully account for any kind of hiccups on the tenant rent side |
| I know you get sales with a lag, obviously from the tenants |
| Slowing down the cap rate expansion is resulting in the second quarter cap rates being similar to the first quarter |
| Job one is always to release the vacancies but we'll continue to sell nonperforming assets, and we don't see a clear path to generating rental income within a reasonable time period |
| So that's negative $8 million and you got 3 – $4 million in G&A creep |
| But more through discussions I think is more live real time data that we obtain is we're not seeing the sales of our tenants dropping, so not thinking it's getting soft by any means |
| We've got a handful of Rite Aids and so they'll die a natural death, I believe |
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