Earnings Sentiment

Sentiment Analysis of the earnings transcript to help figure out if there are any bullish or bearish sentiments that could be gathered from it. We're doing ML and AI based analysis on the earnings call to get some more insights.

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Sentiment Distribution

   

Earnings Call Transcript Word Cloud

     

Bullish Statements during Earnings call

Statement
But we feel really good about where we ended for the full year and the choices we made
And we remain well positioned to deliver our 2024 and our medium-term guidance
I feel really confident about the year ahead
And secondly, that we can grow operating profit ahead of the rate of sales growth in 2024, even in an environment out there where people might be putting more money back into A&P that they had taken out earlier
One we're very confident in the 4% to 6% sales growth guidance but we're also very confident in being able to grow organic profit ahead of the rate of sales growth
And actually, that helps us that we will be able to be -- to continue to be competitive in still a difficult market environment where in some places, we have seen volumes declining, and we have to battle for the volume growth that also we're committed to get
We did 6.5% sales growth cycling over tough comps with some volume growth as well, right? And then again, that's the strength of the portfolio geographically and from a product mix point of view that the categories give us
It's been another successful year of delivery for Haleon, building on our track record as a stand-alone company
Very proud of some of the innovation that went and you look at the US market where we launched Sensodyne Active Pronamel Shield, year two of Sensodyne Sensitivity & Gum the two biggest innovations in the US toothpaste market
So we feel good about the innovation
We've seen great results we had last year on VMS trials on Centrum other things we have done
So, all of that with the productivity program and gross margin going up, gives us confidence that we'll have operating leverage also in 2024
And obviously we've done the deal on sexual health which is in a way an Rx-OTC switch is a direct to OTC and we're excited about that opportunity there
Sensodyne had a weaker half one last year and started to perform very well in the second half of the year, so we go with good momentum into the year
And actually, we continue to invest in VMS, and we're able to take share, an example on emergency, which to be showed in the presentation in a declining market, which I think positions us and strengthens us for the future
So, we believe also next year we'll be able to do both, grow price and grow volume
And then you also -- we have seen very strong and continued success on the other categories in China
Our partner is very happy with the performance
We're very happy with the performance
So for example, in 2023, our A&P investment will find oral health was very strong, and you've seen that come out in results
Now -- so 68% of our businesses outside the US and we saw much higher instances in some other geographies, specifically the places like Central Eastern Europe, Japan and Turkey, and we performed quite well in those environments
You see that Caltrate and Centrum have done quite well
And as we've always said, we try to keep very conscious of how we take pricing because we want to continue to see that volume growth, very proud of 2022 and 2023 and what we've been able to deliver
And then overall, listen, we feel good about the performance of our business in Europe, Middle East, Africa, and Latin America
Really strong performance on Centrum last year driven by the clinical study, which now we have three different outputs of that clinical study that show that Centrum Silver increases cognitive function by 60% among the population of people 60 and older
So overall, the big switch was done, executed successfully and I think now really see that as a growth driver for us in the future as well
But overall, we feel good about the makeup of the business
But overall we feel very good about that market and our business there and it grew at healthy double-digits in 2023
So very proud of the way our China organization will react from a supply chain demand quadrupled overnight and we're able to really react and help meet that demand
And also they started the year with very strong momentum, yes
       

Bearish Statements during earnings call

Statement
That's already incorporated into our Q1 guidance, which we said will be slightly below our full year 4% to 6% guidance
And that was in a year where gross margin was actually down in percent of sales
environment, it's been a bit tougher environment in the sense that we've seen kind of volume declines in certain categories
Now of course there's also transactional losses in that because these markets tend to import
As a result, shifting all that over probably sales growth and sales growth into the distribution channel was a little bit lower in Q4 than what you would normally would see
So, as immunity category, as we shared, saw a significant decline because of the explosive growth that happened during COVID
Now you mentioned that some of the reduction was in respiratory but did not prevented you from outperforming your peers
We did see some volume declines there, as you noted
Now in the US, in the back half, our business was basically flat in respiratory, but the market was down kind of mid to high single-digits
We've given you the M&A building blocks which is down 1% and 3% that gives you another about 40 bps of margin that is negative
So what happened during COVID in that population, an older population less disposable income as social occasions went down, the usage of the category went down
So place like Latin America, you would see a bit more volume decline, and it links a little bit to Tobias' point also in the hyperinflation comments in Argentina
But my question is on your margin bridges you talked about operating leverage let's say the plus 50 basis points -- 60 basis points this year and then you have the negative effects
and across Europe is challenging, but we believe that we have still the ability to take price
And also from a phasing point of view, I think, in the back of my deck you see, I mean, remember Fenbid, but not all the Fenbid growth last year is going to disappear again, because Fenbid came back from a reduced use, because it was blocked for sales before
Can you talk about your ability to price and what kind of regions or quantum of pricing we should be looking forward as additional pricing in 2024, if any? And then lastly, can you talk about the volume performance in EMEA, LatAm, which was negative, as negative as in Q3, one in Q3, there were some, I think, one-off issues
And then as you said, within that, there is efficiencies we're always looking to be more efficient in our non-working A&P, and we see that obviously grow slower than overall A&P
We didn't have the tailwind from a productivity program
But one thing toothpaste actually are very bad for set people with sensitive teeth and we have a product that actually does both, two shades whiter and 24/7 sensitivity protection
so that's about a £150 million headwind
   

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