Earnings Sentiment

Sentiment Analysis of the earnings transcript to help figure out if there are any bullish or bearish sentiments that could be gathered from it. We're doing ML and AI based analysis on the earnings call to get some more insights.

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Sentiment Distribution

   

Earnings Call Transcript Word Cloud

     

Bullish Statements during Earnings call

Statement
And frankly, I was telling the Group just before this meeting, that’s really what makes us feel good, as we see another robust region with a capital cycle rival China in size
Less price, favorable NMI, three points of price-cost, green, very confident
So we feel pretty good
So the performance is good
Sequentially, orders will improve in the second half
So overall, we feel pretty good that it’s worst-case neutral, best case, slightly better than neutral
KOB3 remains strong at about 65%
So we feel very good
The underlying trends, the secular tailwinds around re-shoring energy, security and affordability, the software trend in our customers as they digitize their operations, and certainly the spend around sustainability and decarbonization remains very positive
We feel very good
And that should fuel some good momentum on the order side
Strong double-digits
We see great momentum, great team, good leadership
We feel good about that
The commercial agreement is working well, Aspen double-digit ACV growth
So consistent with what we said in our earnings call, I think we feel pretty good about where we sit
But the process hybrid capital cycle has been very disciplined, and with the tailwinds I described, we expect consistent growth in the process hybrid side of the business
And if that happens and when that happens, we’re going to be well positioned with Ovation
Western Europe printed a 10% underlying sales growth in Q1, and our Latin America business has been strong
If it does, Ovation is well positioned with the relationships we have to capitalize on
So we feel pretty good about China and North America has been low-single digit growth
So we feel pretty good about the pace of recovery
So we believe that, okay, there might be some slowdown, but it’s not a significant change, but the positive is the LNG moratorium or the pivot towards traditional energy investments will be a net favorable dynamic for Emerson
Surprisingly, we’re seeing good performance in Western Europe
As the orders turn, I think we’ll get the business positioned to continue to perform at a very high level going into ‘25
In the case of a Biden win that continues as usual, the green initiatives will continue, we’ll benefit from it
So modest sequential gain, which is obviously driven by automotive, semiconductors, some of the industrial and commercial accounts we have exposure to and so we feel pretty confident about that
Pace of orders in Q2 are marginally better than Q1
We’ll expect that business to come back, and we feel pretty good about it
So we feel pretty good about where SSE and DGM are as it relates to subscriptions and tokenizations and getting customers in the utility space to buy into that
       

Bearish Statements during earnings call

Statement
The other three parts of the business are down 20%-plus
Lots of valid concern around the EV build out here in the US as far as the factories, there has been some push outs of semiconductor plants, which in my mind is that’s like when you say US manufacturing re-shoring, that’s the bulk of it
The orders are down, I think – Ram Krishnan 17%
So on a full year basis, orders will be down low-single digits for NI
And as you pointed out, we have the headwinds this year of the $250 million around NI costs, cost to achieve and then the $50 million for CapEx
Still down year-over-year
The business has obviously been through a bit of a downturn here
That’s a headwind
But on the free cash flow front, the – it’s been tough to tease out conversion of the core
But a lot of the companies like GM and Tesla are working with us on the battery validation side, which is where NI plays and we expect that is a temporary pause
But yes, we – the headwind I would call out would be this
So again, I guess, I don’t know the math of $1.6 billion, I think will be down low-single digits
Stephen Tusa So – but if I wanted to stick with conversion, it’s really that tax number is probably like the biggest one that’s out there? Mike Baughman That’s the biggest single headwind
But at some point, that’s going to come to light
The only big headwind there is tax related
I think it goes down – Mike and I were talking about it in the plane over the last 20 years, if you looked at our automation business, you take out the two black swan events of the financial crisis and COVID, there’s only been one decline in ‘15 and ‘16, and that was that followed a capital surge in 2010 to ‘14
But it’s all really tough to call
It went down
But is there anything that’s, anything moving around, anything a little bit better, a little bit worse from an end market perspective? Ram Krishnan No
So we’re not concerned
   

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