Earnings Sentiment

Sentiment Analysis of the earnings transcript to help figure out if there are any bullish or bearish sentiments that could be gathered from it. We're doing ML and AI based analysis on the earnings call to get some more insights.

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Sentiment Distribution

   

Earnings Call Transcript Word Cloud

     

Bullish Statements during Earnings call

Statement
The results have been promising, and a lot of lessons learned as we focus on cost and treatment technologies that can operate consistently at scale
Our compelling outlook for this year is a testament to our keen focus on margins and the hard work and consistent results of our team delivered in ‘23, and we’re excited by our continued momentum into the first quarter of 2024
We will also see some pricing power and rate increase over time in our disposal business as volumes just over the basin continue to increase
There is greater demand for water infrastructure in the Northern Delaware Basin than there are existing assets, and we have the opportunity to participate in further growth at attractive rates of return
It’s just very fluid, and we are well positioned with geographic reach and the number of recycling locations we have to actually win additional spot business
As we have previously discussed, we have allocated additional resources to skim oil recovery and averaged approximately 1,360 barrels per day in the fourth quarter, ahead of expectations due primarily to higher volumes from flowbacks and operational improvements
We reported adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter of $49.3 million, up 37% from the fourth quarter of 2022 and up 10% sequentially from the third quarter of 2023, again, exceeding expectations for the quarter
We will benefit from our prior capital investments and anticipate being able to better leverage the system to improve capital efficiency going forward
Combined with continued operational and commercial improvements, we anticipate sustained positive free cash flow for the year, which will improve our options for capital allocation, which can include increasing our shareholder returns
Our large scale infrastructure and proven ability to deliver treated water in large quantities, again, allowed us to win additional spot business, driving higher-than-anticipated water solutions volumes in the fourth quarter
We had an outstanding year delivering great results quarter-over-quarter and we enter 2024 with significant positive momentum
Steve will expand on the details, but sustainable volume growth, our anticipated continued expansion of operating margins and significantly reduced capital spending, sets up 2024 as a pivotal year for Aris as we anticipate sustained positive free cash flow
I am immensely proud of our collective achievements
In addition to the sustainable growth rate, we expect to benefit from improved profitability from the positive momentum on margins coming out of last year, additional operating cost reductions in chemicals, filtration and waste disposal as well as further contractual revenue escalation
While there is still work to do, we exceeded our annual goals, expanding margins by more than 10% and improving operational and financial efficiency
We maintained a strong rate of growth
We increased produced water volumes 19% and water solutions volumes 9% year-over-year, which combined with our expanded margins, culminated in adjusted EBITDA of $175 million, up 17% for the year and exceeding the upper end of our guidance range
In our produced water business, we averaged 1.1 million barrels per day for the fourth quarter, ahead of our expectations and continued our sequential growth for the ninth consecutive quarter
We’ve made great progress, and our business today is more efficient, more profitable and more predictable, which is evident in our 2023 results
So, with that, I want to especially thank our employees who work so hard to deliver the great year we had in ‘23 and provided us with this positive momentum into ‘24
In terms of revenue, the largest of our annual CPI escalations took effect at the beginning of the third quarter; and combined with the success of our electrification projects and rental expense reductions, drove significant margin expansion of $0.05 per barrel since our cost peaked in the middle of 2022
We are extremely proud of this growth and our success in managing costs and logistics while optimizing the use of our infrastructure and enhancing water sustainability in the Permian Basin
We still see opportunity for margin expansion in our core business, working with our customers on additional growth opportunities adjacent to our core system
Our reduced capital spending will allow us to achieve greater free cash flow and provide us the opportunity to increase shareholder returns
2023 was a fantastic year for the Aris business
So, well over the halfway mark, but we will see some incremental margin improvement this year from those
Our team is focused on continuing the strong execution we demonstrated in 2023, operating safely and reliably for our employees and customers while enhancing water sustainability in the Permian Basin
Taken together, our operational performance, lower capital investment and working capital improvements delivered $14 million in positive free cash flow in 2023
To close, I want to again highlight the success of 2023, our consistent execution across the year and the momentum it provides us looking forward into 2024
For the year, ongoing process improvements delivered an almost 41% decrease in net working capital and a period which saw revenue grow more than 22%, driving a $43 million working capital benefit
       

Bearish Statements during earnings call

Statement
Repurchases would exacerbate some of the issues we see from the low float that’s out there
As operators limit their use of groundwater, the growth of produced water recycling in the Permian Basin has been unprecedented
The challenges around the Delaware Basin versus the Midland Basin and landowners and their ability to extract value in these complex systems or at least integrated systems makes it more challenging, but we are in the middle and constantly evaluating all of the opportunities to consolidate what we think should be, over time, consolidated
Volumes were up 16% for the year and we recaptured margins, which had been eroded by inflation and cost challenges driven by our rapid growth in late 2022
The buffer pumps are there, the pumps are there, the massive amounts of their water plus other people’s water that we can blend and treat and redeliver for these big trucks is just impossible to replicate
And so we do see some lumpiness in those skim volumes
As we’ve previously seen, the water solutions business can be lumpy, and higher water volumes in the fourth quarter were also a function of a pull forward of activity originally scheduled for the first quarter of 2024
We will have some continued electrification, which will continue to drive costs down
   

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