Vale SA's Dividend Analysis

Vale SA's Dividend Analysis

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Assessing the Upcoming Dividend and Historical Trends of Vale SA

Vale SA (NYSE:VALE) recently announced a dividend of $0.55 per share, payable on 2024-03-26, with the ex-dividend date set for 2024-03-12. As investors look forward to this upcoming payment, the spotlight also shines on the company's dividend history, yield, and growth rates. Using the data from GuruFocus, let's look into Vale SA's dividend performance and assess its sustainability.

What Does Vale SA Do?

Vale is a large global miner and the world's largest producer of iron ore and pellets. In recent years the company has sold noncore assets such as its fertilizer, coal, and steel operations to concentrate on iron ore, nickel, and copper. Earnings are dominated by the bulk materials division, primarily iron ore and iron ore pellets. The base metals division is much smaller, consisting of nickel mines and smelters along with copper mines producing copper in concentrate. Vale has agreed to sell a minority 13% stake in energy transition metals, its base metals business, which is expected to become effective in 2024, and which is likely the first step in separating base metals and iron ore.

Vale SA's Dividend Analysis
Vale SA's Dividend Analysis

A Glimpse at Vale SA's Dividend History

Vale SA has maintained a consistent dividend payment record since 2002. Dividends are currently distributed on a quarterly basis. Below is a chart showing annual Dividends Per Share for tracking historical trends.

Breaking Down Vale SA's Dividend Yield and Growth

As of today, Vale SA currently has a 12-month trailing dividend yield of 9.17% and a 12-month forward dividend yield of 13.36%. This suggests an expectation of increased dividend payments over the next 12 months.

Over the past three years, Vale SA's annual dividend growth rate was 26.40%. Extended to a five-year horizon, this rate increased to 36.10% per year. And over the past decade, Vale SA's annual dividends per share growth rate stands at an impressive 22.80%.

Based on Vale SA's dividend yield and five-year growth rate, the 5-year yield on cost of Vale SA stock as of today is approximately 42.82%.

Vale SA's Dividend Analysis
Vale SA's Dividend Analysis

The Sustainability Question: Payout Ratio and Profitability

To assess the sustainability of the dividend, one needs to evaluate the company's payout ratio. The dividend payout ratio provides insights into the portion of earnings the company distributes as dividends. A lower ratio suggests that the company retains a significant part of its earnings, thereby ensuring the availability of funds for future growth and unexpected downturns. As of 2023-12-31, Vale SA's dividend payout ratio is 0.59.