Adhitya Nur
Welcome to the nickel miners news for February.
The past month saw nickel prices rise for the first time after falling steadily the past year.
As of February 29, the nickel spot price was USD 7.74/lb, up from USD 7.39/lb last month. LME shows the price at USD 17,130/tonne. Nickel inventory at the London Metals Exchange [LME] was lower the past month at 69,330 tonnes (70,068 tonnes last month).
Nickel spot price 5 year chart - Current price = USD 7.74/lb
Nickel Business Environment: Supply-Demand Balance (as of May 2023) (source)
Benchmark Mineral Intelligence forecasts deficits for lithium, nickel & cobalt to increase from 2027 onwards (source)
Trend Investing vs IEA demand forecast for EV metals (IEA)
2021 IEA forecast growth in demand for selected minerals from clean energy technologies by scenario, 2040 relative to 2020 - Increases Of Lithium 13x to 42x, Graphite 8x to 25x, Cobalt 6x to 21x, Nickel 7x to 19x, Manganese 3x to 8x, Rare Earths 3x to 7x, and Copper 2x to 3x (source)
2022 - IEA forecasts 60 new nickel mines needed by 2030
BMI forecasts we need 330+ new EV metal mines from 2022 to 2035 to meet surging demand - 72 new 45,500tpa nickel mines needed by 2035
Lithium & Nickel are the two 'high importance to energy' critical materials in the medium term (2025-2035) (source - page 29)
On February 2, Bloomberg reported:
Germany invests €1 billion to counter China on raw materials... As Germany's parliament approves Scholz's 2024 budget on Friday, the billion-euro fund is to be set up for four years. Investments will be coordinated with Italian and French initiatives in the raw materials sector, the people said. Policymakers will focus on mineral projects defined as critical in the European Union's Critical Raw Materials Act..."The raw-material fund can be an element, but it won't be enough," Grimm told Bloomberg.
On February 5 Market Index reported:
Is the Nickel price close to a trough? Morgan Stanley has the answer... Morgan Stanley suggests the above mentioned closures equate to "54kt of mined nickel capacity" and this accounts for approximately 30% of the brokers previously modelled surplus for 2024. The situation is precarious for many producers, however, and there's as much as 253ktpa (kilotonnes per annum) of potential supply "at risk" of curtailment... Morgan Stanley suggests the possibility nickel is close to a trough "looks increasingly likely, in our view". The broker points out that the current spot nickel price is at the 75th percentile of Wood Mackenzie's ("Woodmac") cost curve... "We may be starting to find a floor for nickel pricing", says the broker who now expects the nickel price could bottom around US$15,500/t in the second quarter of 2024.
On February 9, Mining.com reported: "EU, US to align global minerals push against China's supply grip."
On February 19, Mining.com reported:
US moves to restore stockpiling 'panic button' in EV metals fight with China... the US faces serious shortages of the raw materials needed to execute the energy transition at the scale envisioned by Biden and his team... In December, Congress passed a new National Defense Authorization Act, which gives the logistics agency greater freedom to make long-term purchases without the congressional approval it had previously needed. It also guarantees $1 billion a year in future funding.
On February 19 Reuters reported:
Australia gives nickel a quick fix, but surgery of global industry needed... Resources Minister Madeleine King placed nickel on the critical minerals list, a move that allows the industry to access some of the A$4 billion ($2.7 billion) of federal government funding aimed at promoting minerals vital to energy transition.
On February 26, NASDAQ (courtesy INN) reported:
Elliott Management's Hyperion to seek billion-dollar mining assets as metals demand grows. Bargain-hunting billionaire investment firms are chasing undervalued mining stocks... However, with commodities demand forecast to surge as the green transition takes hold, there's plenty of optimism that tides are set to change, and big-name contrarians are beginning to position ahead of time... Elliott Investment Management (US$65 billion assets under management) is set to launch Hyperion, a new investment company, with a US$1 billion war chest and a mandate to acquire global mining assets on the cheap... Base metals, precious metals and commodities strategic for electric vehicle batteries and renewable energy infrastructure are reportedly on its shopping list - think lithium, nickel, cobalt and copper.
Producers
Norilsk Nickel
On January 29, MMC Norilsk Nickel announced:
Nornickel announces consolidated production results for 2023... In 4Q 2023, consolidated nickel output increased 16% quarter-on-quarter (q-o-q) to 63 kt, practically all of which were produced from the Company's own Russian feed... In 2023, nickel output from the Company's own Russian feed of 208 kt was in line with the 204-214 kt production guidance range.
On February 9, MMC Norilsk Nickel announced: "Nornickel reports FY2023 consolidated IFRS financial results." Highlights include:
Vale SA (NYSE:VALE)
Vale Voisey's Bay Mine is a key Canadian and global source of nickel. Vale plans a refinery at Bécancour in Québec to supply GM with battery grade nickel sulfate with deliveries targeted to commence in H2 2026.
On January 29, Vale SA announced:
Production and sales report 4Q23... Nickel production decreased by 5% in Q4 vs a year ago, while it also decreased 8% in 2023, totaling 164.9 kt, in-line with guidance. The lower production was anticipated considering the transition to underground mining at Voisey's Bay as well as the planned furnace rebuild at Onça Puma.
On February 22, Vale SA announced: "Vale signs partnership with Anglo American in Minas-Rio..." (relates to iron ore)
Glencore [HK:805] [LSE:GLEN] (OTCPK:GLCNF)
On February 1, Glencore announced:
Full year 2023 production report... Own sourced nickel production of 97,600 tonnes was 9,900 tonnes (9%) lower than 2022, primarily reflecting higher INO third party production (versus own sourced) and a planned shutdown of Murrin Murrin for routine maintenance, somewhat offset by a more consistent production performance from Koniambo.
On February 12, Glencore announced: "Koniambo Nickel to transition to care+maintenance..."
On February 21, Glencore announced: "Preliminary results 2023." Highlights include:
Strong financial performance
BHP Group [ASX:BHP] (NYSE:BHP)
BHP's Nickel West (includes the Mt Keith nickel mine in Australia) has a Measured and Indicated Resource of 4.1Mt contained nickel with a Total Resource contained nickel of 6.3Mt, with an average grade of 0.58% Ni in sulphide ore. Nickel West produced 80 kt of nickel in FY 2020. Stage 1 production of the Kwinana Nickel Refinery is aimed to be 100ktpa nickel sulphate.
On February 15 The Straits Times reported:
BHP writes down value of Australian assets after nickel price collapse. Mining giant BHP wiped billions off the estimated value of its Australian nickel operations, as it struggles to compete with a flood of cheap shipments from Indonesia. The Anglo-Australian company said it is writing down its assets in Western Australia by about US$2.3 billion (S$3.1 billion), citing "current market conditions".
On February 20, BHP Group announced:
BHP results for the half year ended 31 December 2023... BHP Chief Executive Officer, Mike Henry: "... Today, we announced underlying attributable profit of US$6.6 billion for the half year. We also announced an interim dividend of 72 US cents per share - a total of US$3.6 billion, equating to a payout ratio of 56%..."
BHP's Nickel West operations
Anglo American [LSX:AAL] (OTCPK:AAUKF)
On February 7, Anglo American announced: "Minas-Rio and Barro Alto mines achieve IRMA 75 on responsible mining standard..."
On February 8, Anglo American announced:
Q4 2023 production report... Nickel production increased by 9%, reflecting improved operational stability...
Note: 2023 Nickel production was 40 kt, up 1% YoY.
On February 12, Anglo American announced:
Anglo American and Finnish Minerals Group to explore battery value chain opportunities. Anglo American and Finnish Minerals Group have signed a memorandum of understanding ("MOU") to work together to explore opportunities to further support Finland's battery strategy. Finnish Minerals Group is a holding and development company that manages the Finnish Government's mining industry shareholdings and supports the development of the Finnish battery value chain...
Eramet [FRA:ERA] (OTCPK:ERMAY)
On February 21, Eramet announced: "2023 results: Confirmation of solid fundamentals for the Group, in a very de-pressed price environment in 2023." Highlights include:
Sherritt International (OTCPK:SHERF)[TSX:S]
On February 7, Sherritt International announced: "Sherritt reports fourth quarter and full year 2023 results; 2024 guidance for metals outlines improved production and lower costs." Highlights include:
Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023 Results and Selected Developments
IGO Limited [ASX:IGO] (OTC:IIDDY)
On February 1, IGO Limited announced: "High-grades in net textured nickel sulphides from second hole at the Dogleg Ni-Cu-Co Prospect, West Kimberley Project, Western Australia."
On February 22, IGO Limited announced: "Half-year financial results period ended 31 December 2023." Highlights include:
Nickel 28 Capital Corp. [TSXV:NKL] [GR:3JC]
On February 13, Nickel 28 Capita Corp. announced: "Nickel 28 releases Ramu Q4 and full year 2023 operating performance." Highlights include:
Nickel Industries Limited [ASX:NIC] (OTCPK:NICMF)
On January 30, Nickel Industries Limited announced: "Quarterly activities report for the quarter ended 31 December 2023. Record Group EBITDA from operations of US$135.4M underpins increased dividend and share buyback." Highlights include:
RKEF operations
HPAL operations
Mining operations
Corporate
On January 30, Nickel Industries Limited announced:
New capital management framework including initial on-market share buyback... Nickel Industries today announced that it intends to return up to US$100m of additional capital to shareholders. This capital management program, which complements the Company's dividend policy, will initially take the form of an on-market share buyback in Australia... The buyback of up to US$100m is expected to be conducted over a 12-month period...
On February 14, Nickel Industries Limited announced: "Successful syndication of US$400M BNI loan facilities..."
Other nickel producers
First Quantum Minerals [TSX:FM] (OTCPK:FQVLF), Franco/Nevada [TSX:FNV], MMG [HK:1208], South32 [ASX:S32], Lundin Mining [TSX:LUN], Nickel Asia Corporation [PSE:NIKL], Platinum Group Metals' [TSX:PTM] (PLG), Sumitomo Metal Mining Co. (OTCPK:SMMYY).
Horizonte Minerals Plc [TSX:HZM] [AIM:HZM]
Horizonte is developing its 100% owned Araguaia Nickel Project (Araguaia) as Brazil's next major ferronickel mine.
No news for the month.
Poseidon Nickel [ASX:POS] (OTC:PSDNF)
On February 14, Poseidon Nickel announced: "Exciting new exploration targets at Windarra." Highlights include:
Talon Metals [TSX:TLO] (OTCPK:TLOFF) Tamarack - (JV with Rio Tinto)
Tamarack is a high grade nickel-copper-cobalt project located in Minnnesota, USA, with considerable exploration upside. Talon Metals owns a 51% project share, with potential to further earn-in to a 60% share by 2026.
On January 31, Talon Metals announced:
Michigan Department of Natural Resources approves Talon Metals application for 23,000 acres of state mineral leases. New leases Augment Talon's 400,000 acres of mineral rights in highly prospective nickel district, currently host to the only operating high-grade nickel mine in the USA...
On February 23, Talon Metals announced:
Talon metals selected to lead public testimony before us treasury regarding critical minerals tax credit. Talon Metals Corp. ("Talon" or the "Company") (TSX:TLO, OTC:TLOFF) Chief External Affairs Officer and Head of Climate Strategy Todd Malan was selected to lead the public testimony during yesterday's US Treasury's public hearing on Section 45X Advanced Manufacturing Production Tax Credit for Critical Minerals.
Garibaldi Resources [TSXV:GGI] [GR:RQM] [LN:OUX6] (OTCPK:GGIFF)
No news for the month.
St George Mining Ltd. [ASX:SGQ] [GR:SOG]
The Cathedrals, Stricklands and Investigators nickel-copper discoveries (at Mt Alexander) are located on E29/638, which is held in joint venture by Western Areas Limited (25%) and St George (75%). St George is the Manager of the Project with Western Areas retaining a 25% non-contributing interest in the Project (in regard to E29/638 only) until there is a decision to mine.
On January 31, St George Mining reported: "Quarterly activities report for the period ended 31 December 2023." Highlights include:
CORPORATE - Global battery investors back St George
Queensland Pacific Metals [ASX:QPM]
On February 16, Queensland Pacific Metals announced: "US HPA marketing samples assayed at 5N Purity."
Premium Nickel Resources Corporation [TSXV:PNRL](OTCQX:PNRLF)
On January 30, Premium Nickel Resources Corporation announced:
Premium Nickel drills 30.45m of 2.88% NiEq and 9.55m of 3.94% NiEq at Selebi North Underground. "These are excellent results that add additional definition to the multiple zones that comprise the historic resource at the Selebi-North deposit. Importantly, they extend beyond the historic resource estimate, highlighting new mineralization between the N2 and N3 folds not captured in the historic resource. Furthermore, recent borehole electromagnetic survey results from underground drillholes indicate that the mineralized zones extend further down plunge from the deepest mineralized intersections drilled to date." - CEO, Keith Morrison...
On February 13, Premium Nickel Resources Corporation announced:
Premium Nickel reports 102.80 metres of 2.23% NiEq at Selebi North Underground..."
On February 22, Premium Nickel Resources Corporation announced:
Premium Nickel Resources Ltd. announces high extraction rates for all metals in recent metallurgical testwork supporting low carbon metal production...
On February 26, Premium Nickel Resources Corporation announced:
Premium Nickel reports 110.75 metres of 2.56% NiEq at Selebi North Underground...
Canada Nickel Company [TSXV:CNC](OTCQX:CNIKF)
On February 6, Canada Nickel Company announced:
Canada Nickel announces closing of Samsung SDI Equity Investment... for aggregate gross proceeds of US$18.5 million (see Canada Nickel press release dated January 19, 2024). Samsung SDI has subscribed for 15.6 million common shares of the Company at C$1.57 per share. Samsung SDI now holds 8.7% of the issued and outstanding common shares of the Company.
On February 8, Canada Nickel Company announced: Canada Nickel Company's NetZero Metals intends to develop downstream nickel & stainless-steel processing facilities in Timmins Region." Highlights include:
On February 20, Canada Nickel Company announced: "Canada Nickel successfully completes initial infill drilling at Bannockburn Property "B" Zone; 2024 Exploration Program conference call to be held on February 23." Highlights include:
On February 22, Canada Nickel Company announced: "Canada Nickel confirms discovery at Mann Central, successfully completes initial drilling at Mann Northwest Property." Highlights include:
Ardea Resources [ASX:ARL] (OTCPK:ARRRF)
In total, Ardea has 6.1Mt of contained nickel and 386,000t of contained cobalt at their KNP Project near Kalgoorlie in Western Australia. Ardea is also exploring for gold and nickel sulphide on their >5,100 km2 of 100% controlled tenements in the Eastern Goldfields region of Western Australia.
On February 29 Ardea Resources announced:
Ardea and Japanese Consortium: Update on Progress on KNP - Goongarrie Hub... Upon execution of Final Agreements, future work will be aimed at completing the DFS, making a Final Investment Decision [FID] and securing project development funding for the Goongarrie Hub to become a globally significant producer of nickel-cobalt.
Centaurus Metals Limited [ASX:CTM] (OTCQX:CTTZF)
Centaurus Metals is an Australian-based minerals exploration company focused on the near-term development of the Jaguar Nickel Sulphide Project, in Northern Brazil.
On January 30, Centaurus Metals Limited announced:
December 2023 quarterly activities report. Jaguar DFS scheduled for completion in Q1 2024 with key permitting milestones recently achieved. Exceptional deep drilling results extend mineralisation at Jaguar well below current Resource limits... Cash at 31 December 2023 of $34.7 million, providing a significant cash runway with the focus now on completing and delivering the DFS following the completion of Jaguar resource drilling.
On February 5, Centaurus Metals Limited announced:
Key environmental licence issued for the Jaguar Project. Installation licence application to be lodged this month...
Alliance Nickel [ASX:AXN] (formerly GME Resources)
On February 5, Alliance Nickel announced: "Alliance Nickel receives $1.13 million R&D tax refund."
On February 8, Alliance Nickel announced: "Non-binding term sheet signed with Samsung SDI for future offtake of battery-grade nickel and cobalt sulphate products from the NiWest Nickel-Cobalt Project." Highlights include:
On February 26, Alliance Nickel announced: "Financial report half year ended 31 December 2023..."
Widgie Nickel [ASX:WIN]
On January 31, Widgie Nickel announced: "December 2023 quarterly report." Highlights include:
Sama Resources [TSXV: SME] [GR;8RS] (OTCPK:SAMMF)
No significant news for the month.
Murchison Minerals [TSXV:MUR] (OTCQB:MURMF)
No news for the month.
Power Nickel [TSXV:PNPN] (CMETF)
On February 13, Power Nickel announced:
Power Nickel extends resource mineralization at Nisk Main. 12.77 m @ 0.62% Ni, 0.63% Cu, 0.04% Co, 0.78 g/t Pd and 0.22 g/t Pt...
The Metals Company (TMC)
No news for the month.
Artemis Resources [ASV:ARV], Australian Mines [ASX:AUZ], Azure Minerals [ASX:AZS] (OTCPK:AZRMF), Blackstone Minerals [ASX:BSX], Cassini Resources [ASX: CZI], Class 1 Nickel and Technologies Ltd. [CSE:NICO] (OTCQB:NICLF), Electra Battery Materials [TSXV:ELBM] (ELBMF), Electric Royalties [TSXV:ELEC], EV Nickel [TSXV:EVNI] (OTCPK:EVNIF), Flying Nickel Mining Corp. [TSXV:FLYN], FPX Nickel [TSXV:FPX], Grid Metals Corp [TSXV:GRDM], Go Metals [CSE:GOCO] (OTCPK:GOCOF), Huntsman Exploration [TSXV:HMAN] (OTCPK:BBBMF), Inomin Mines [TSXV:MINE], Jervois Global Limited [ASX:JRV] (OTCQB:JRVMF), New Age Metals [TXV:NAM], Nickel Creek Platinum [TSX:NCP] (OTCQX:NCPCF), Nordic Nickel Limited [ASX:NNL], Pancontinental Resources Corporation [TSXV:PUC], Polymet Mining [TSX:POM], Renforth Resources [CSE:RFR] (OTCQB:RFHRF), Rox Resources [ASX:RXL], S2 Resources (ASX:S2R), Stillwater Critical Minerals [TSXV:PGE] (OTCQB:PGEZF), Sunrise Energy Metals [ASX:SRL] (OTCQX:SREMF), Surge Battery Metals Inc. [TSXV:NILI] [FRA:DJ5C] (OTCQX:NILIF), Talisman Mining Ltd. [ASX:TLM], Tartisan Nickel Corp. [CSE:TN] (OTCQB:TTSRF), Transition Metals [TSXV:XTM], URU Metals Ltd. [LSE:URU] [GR:NVRA], Wall Bridge Mining [TSX:WM], and Zeb Nickel Corp. [TSXV:ZBNI] (OTCQB:ZBNIF).
Note: Some of the above companies are covered in the Cobalt monthly news.
Below is the Sprott Nickel Miners ETF. You can view the top holdings here.
Sprott Nickel Miners ETF (NIKL) - One year price chart - Price = US$12.27
Seeking Alpha
Nickel spot prices were up the last month, reversing a 1 year downtrend for now.
Highlights for the month were:
As usual all comments are welcome.
Editor's Note: This article discusses one or more securities that do not trade on a major U.S. exchange. Please be aware of the risks associated with these stocks.