The banking system has run into a fresh crisis, leaving several bank stocks to sell. Shares of New York Community Bancorp (NYSE:NYCB) plunged recently following a massive earnings miss and credit rating downgrade. This unleashed broader concerns about the state of the American regional banking system, particularly regarding credit quality and loans in the commercial real estate space.
Many traders are looking to buy the lows, and understandably so. Many regional banking stocks have plunged in 2024 and could provide sizable recoveries when things turn around. However, other bank stocks to sell at higher valuations could be set for dramatic declines if the current industry downturn worsens.
Triumph Financial (TFIN)
Source: totojang1977 / Shutterstock.com
Triumph Financial (NASDAQ:TFIN) is a Dallas, Texas, regional bank with more than $5 billion in total assets.
InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips
The bank has grown quickly and lends into various niche specialty finance verticals. While the stereotype is that Texas banks’ fortunes are tied to the oil and gas industry, Triumph’s customer base is far more diversified and sturdier.
The bank has performed well, and there’s little disputing that the management team is above average. Triumph is a good bank. But shares are trading at a ludicrous valuation.
Triumph has a book value of just $35/share, whereas shares have rallied sharply recently and now go for almost $80/each. The bank is going for a jaw-dropping 43 times forward earnings at that price. Regardless of how well-run a regional bank may be, it’s hard to imagine a fundamental story to justify this valuation. If the regional bank jitters spread to Texas in any way, TFIN stock would be set for a massive decline.
SoFi Technologies (SOFI)
Source: Poetra.RH / Shutterstock.com
Speaking of costly bank stocks, there’s SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ:SOFI).
Shares of the purported financial technology company are going for more than 100 times forward earnings. Bulls like to suggest SoFi is changing the financial game. However, its shares should not be compared to traditional banking companies.
However, If you value it as a bank, SOFI stock is selling for an absurdly high price. The bank lost money outright last year, sells for a chunky premium to book value and generated a negative return on equity (ROE). Typically, banks with marginal profitability sell for rock-bottom prices. SoFi has spent heavily on marketing gambles, such as stadium naming rights deals, without first getting its financial house in order.