Six Flags (NYSE:SIX) Misses Q4 Revenue Estimates

Six Flags (NYSE:SIX) Misses Q4 Revenue Estimates

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Six Flags (NYSE:SIX) Misses Q4 Revenue Estimates

Amusement park operator Six Flags (NYSE:SIX) fell short of analysts' expectations in Q4 FY2023, with revenue up 4.5% year on year to $292.6 million. It made a GAAP loss of $0.27 per share, down from its profit of $0.16 per share in the same quarter last year.

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Six Flags (SIX) Q4 FY2023 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $292.6 million vs analyst estimates of $297.5 million (1.7% miss)

  • EPS: -$0.27 vs analyst estimates of $0.27 (-$0.54 miss)

  • Free Cash Flow was -$51.23 million, down from $120.4 million in the previous quarter

  • Gross Margin (GAAP): 46.4%, down from 48.7% in the same quarter last year

  • Visitors: 4.3 million

  • Market Capitalization: $2.06 billion

"As we close out our second year pursuing our premiumization strategy, we are encouraged by the progress we have made to date. Since 2021, we have grown guest spending per capita by 17%, lowered cash expense in the face of historical levels of inflation, leveraged key partnerships to expand sponsorship revenue, and paid down debt," said Selim Bassoul, President and CEO.

Sporting the fastest rollercoaster in the United States, Six Flags (NYSE:SIX) is a regional theme park operator offering thrilling rides, entertainment, and family-friendly attractions.

Leisure Facilities

Leisure facilities companies often sell experiences rather than tangible products, and in the last decade-plus, consumers have slowly shifted their spending from "things" to "experiences". Leisure facilities seek to benefit but must innovate to do so because of the industry's high competition and capital intensity.

Sales Growth

A company's long-term performance can indicate its business quality. Any business can enjoy short-lived success, but best-in-class ones sustain growth over many years. Six Flags's revenue was flat over the last five years.

Six Flags Total Revenue
Six Flags Total Revenue

Within consumer discretionary, product cycles are short and revenue can be hit-driven due to rapidly changing trends. That's why we also follow short-term performance. Six Flags's recent history shows a reversal from its five-year trend as its revenue has shown annualized declines of 2.4% over the last two years.

We can dig even further into the company's revenue dynamics by analyzing its number of visitors, which reached 4.3 million in the latest quarter. Over the last two years, Six Flags's visitors averaged 4.7% year-on-year declines. Because this number is lower than its revenue growth during the same period, we can see the company's monetization has risen.