Here's Why We're Watching Oncolytics Biotech's (TSE:ONC) Cash Burn Situation

Here's Why We're Watching Oncolytics Biotech's (TSE:ONC) Cash Burn Situation

Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

So should Oncolytics Biotech (TSE:ONC) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.

View our latest analysis for Oncolytics Biotech

Does Oncolytics Biotech Have A Long Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. In September 2023, Oncolytics Biotech had CA$40m in cash, and was debt-free. Importantly, its cash burn was CA$28m over the trailing twelve months. That means it had a cash runway of around 17 months as of September 2023. Importantly, analysts think that Oncolytics Biotech will reach cashflow breakeven in 5 years. That means unless the company reduces its cash burn quickly, it may well look to raise more cash. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:ONC Debt to Equity History February 15th 2024

How Is Oncolytics Biotech's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Oncolytics Biotech didn't record any revenue over the last year, indicating that it's an early stage company still developing its business. Nonetheless, we can still examine its cash burn trajectory as part of our assessment of its cash burn situation. With the cash burn rate up 18% in the last year, it seems that the company is ratcheting up investment in the business over time. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but investors should be mindful of the fact that will shorten the cash runway. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

Can Oncolytics Biotech Raise More Cash Easily?

Given its cash burn trajectory, Oncolytics Biotech shareholders may wish to consider how easily it could raise more cash, despite its solid cash runway. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.