Is Lexaria Bioscience (NASDAQ:LEXX) In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans?

Is Lexaria Bioscience (NASDAQ:LEXX) In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans?

There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

So, the natural question for Lexaria Bioscience (NASDAQ:LEXX) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

View our latest analysis for Lexaria Bioscience

How Long Is Lexaria Bioscience's Cash Runway?

You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. In November 2022, Lexaria Bioscience had US$4.8m in cash, and was debt-free. Importantly, its cash burn was US$5.1m over the trailing twelve months. That means it had a cash runway of around 11 months as of November 2022. That's quite a short cash runway, indicating the company must either reduce its annual cash burn or replenish its cash. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

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NasdaqCM:LEXX Debt to Equity History March 7th 2023

How Is Lexaria Bioscience's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

In our view, Lexaria Bioscience doesn't yet produce significant amounts of operating revenue, since it reported just US$343k in the last twelve months. As a result, we think it's a bit early to focus on the revenue growth, so we'll limit ourselves to looking at how the cash burn is changing over time. Over the last year its cash burn actually increased by 13%, which suggests that management are increasing investment in future growth, but not too quickly. However, the company's true cash runway will therefore be shorter than suggested above, if spending continues to increase. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

Can Lexaria Bioscience Raise More Cash Easily?

Given its cash burn trajectory, Lexaria Bioscience shareholders should already be thinking about how easy it might be for it to raise further cash in the future. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.