There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. So when we looked at Informatica (NYSE:INFA) and its trend of ROCE, we really liked what we saw.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Informatica, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.022 = US$93m ÷ (US$5.2b - US$1.1b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).
Thus, Informatica has an ROCE of 2.2%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Software industry average of 7.7%.
See our latest analysis for Informatica
In the above chart we have measured Informatica's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Informatica .
What Can We Tell From Informatica's ROCE Trend?
Informatica has broken into the black (profitability) and we're sure it's a sight for sore eyes. The company was generating losses four years ago, but has managed to turn it around and as we saw earlier is now earning 2.2%, which is always encouraging. Interestingly, the capital employed by the business has remained relatively flat, so these higher returns are either from prior investments paying off or increased efficiencies. That being said, while an increase in efficiency is no doubt appealing, it'd be helpful to know if the company does have any investment plans going forward. After all, a company can only become a long term multi-bagger if it continually reinvests in itself at high rates of return.
In Conclusion...
To bring it all together, Informatica has done well to increase the returns it's generating from its capital employed. And investors seem to expect more of this going forward, since the stock has rewarded shareholders with a 88% return over the last year. With that being said, we still think the promising fundamentals mean the company deserves some further due diligence.
