We're Not Worried About Cardiol Therapeutics' (TSE:CRDL) Cash Burn

We're Not Worried About Cardiol Therapeutics' (TSE:CRDL) Cash Burn

Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.

So should Cardiol Therapeutics (TSE:CRDL) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

See our latest analysis for Cardiol Therapeutics

When Might Cardiol Therapeutics Run Out Of Money?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. When Cardiol Therapeutics last reported its balance sheet in December 2021, it had zero debt and cash worth CA$84m. In the last year, its cash burn was CA$24m. So it had a cash runway of about 3.6 years from December 2021. Notably, however, analysts think that Cardiol Therapeutics will break even (at a free cash flow level) before then. If that happens, then the length of its cash runway, today, would become a moot point. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

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TSX:CRDL Debt to Equity History May 2nd 2022

How Is Cardiol Therapeutics' Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Whilst it's great to see that Cardiol Therapeutics has already begun generating revenue from operations, last year it only produced CA$79k, so we don't think it is generating significant revenue, at this point. Therefore, for the purposes of this analysis we'll focus on how the cash burn is tracking. In fact, it ramped its spending strongly over the last year, increasing cash burn by 155%. That sort of spending growth rate can't continue for very long before it causes balance sheet weakness, generally speaking. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

How Easily Can Cardiol Therapeutics Raise Cash?

Given its cash burn trajectory, Cardiol Therapeutics shareholders may wish to consider how easily it could raise more cash, despite its solid cash runway. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).